Last week I explored the term Annual Percentage Rate (APR) in anticipation of tackling some age old advice. Let’s dive right in!
The Advice: Pay down your debts before you invest!
Why do we urge people to get rid of their debt prior to investing? Well, most debt is composed of two things: a “principal” amount which represent the actual amount you owe, and an “annual percentage rate” which determines how much you will be charged for having that outstanding principal.
At some point (most likely) you determined a payment schedule that would result in the debt getting paid off over the course of X years, which is called an amortization schedule. Still with me?
The reason you are told to pay off your debts first is because when you pay off a debt, you are basically ‘paying yourself’ back the APR of that loan. So if you have an amount in loans at 8% and an equal amount of savings you can guarantee an 8% return on investment just by paying off your loan!
Most people (especially those new to investing) can’t guarantee a return on investment at all. Just to break even you’ll need to generate more than your APR in returns! Otherwise you’ll essentially lose all of your returns to that extra money paid to your loan in the time that it takes to accumulate your new wealth.
Welcome Boxers, to amortization hell.
You have a $30,000 loans at 8% APR for this totally tricked out rubber ducky for bathtime. This ducky has it all, bigass rims, a gold-plated beak, seatwarmers so it makes your bathwater nice and hot before you get in, and remote-start to boot! Your rubber ducky has brought you hours of happiness but you had a big financial windfall recently and all your relatives are badgering you to invest it. According to your amortization schedule, ducky will take 5 years to pay off with your monthly contribution of $608.29 to the Lake Account.
You find $30,000 in a paper bag and ask a total of no one whether or not it’s theirs before absconding with your newfound riches. You tell everyone you got it for walking a dog and your family is made up of the best damn dog-walkers in the United States so no one goes sniffing around your little windfall.
At the same time, uncle Burt says he knows the secret to investing and lets you in on the ground floor of this penny stock for a medical technology company. He thinks you could double, maybe even triple your cash in a few years.
Well, uncle Burt was always an asshole so you invest in an index fund instead. Lucky you! Uncle Burt’s penny stock becomes worthless and you come out ahead with a 10.23%* return on investment in 5 years. Good job! That comes out to less than 2% per year! Oh, wait…
You paid out 8% per year on that loan! So you make $3,069 on investments and pay out $6,497** to your loan in interest. You’ve still paid $30,000 over 5 years to pay off that loan. Oops!
* Based on, erm, Vanguard’s highest-performing index fund (existing for at least 5 years… Long-Term Bond Index! https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/vanguard/index?loc=&View=PP&Sc=0 (as of December 11, 2012)
** Based on this amortization calculator, http://www.amortization-calc.com/#loan-30000-5-8-12-2012-2
So, some people think they can beat the market and some may. Unfortunately there’s a lot more at work in the market then simple timing things and doing your research. Just ask anyone who was invested into Enron or Freddie Mac. Just be careful out there, and if you want some guaranteed ROI, start busting down those loans!